Cost-effective Outbreak Detection in Networks

author: Jure Leskovec, Computer Science Department, Stanford University
published: Oct. 24, 2007,   recorded: September 2007,   views: 1681
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Slides

Slides
0:00 Cost-effective Outbreak Detection in Networks
0:42 Diffusion in Social Networks - Page 1
1:04 Diffusion in Social Networks - Page 2
1:40 Empirical Studies of Diffusion
2:34 Diffusion in Networks
3:14 Scenario 1: Water Network
3:45 Scenario 2: Online media
4:16 Cascade Detection: General Problem
5:18 Two Parts to the Problem
6:46 Problem Setting
7:37 Structure of the Problem
8:31 Analysis
9:21 An Approximation Result
11:08 Reward functions: Submodularity
12:18 Reward Functions are Submodular
13:01 Background: Submodular functions
14:43 Towards a New Algorithm
15:51 Benefit‐Cost: More Problems
16:55 Solution: CELF Algorithm
18:00 How good is the solution?
18:47 Scaling up CELF algorithm
19:34 Scaling up CELF - page 1
20:07 Scaling up CELF - page 2
21:59 Experiments: 2 Case Studies
22:51 Case study 1: Cascades in Blogs
23:27 Diffusion in Blogs
25:37 Q1: Blogs: Solution Quality
27:04 Q2: Blogs: Cost of a Blog - part 1
27:49 Q2: Blogs: Cost of a Blog - part 2
29:10 Q4: Blogs: Heuristic Selection
31:03 Blogs: Generalization to Future
34:01 Q5: Blogs: Scalability
35:16 Case study 2: Water Network
37:01 Water: Solution Quality
37:22 Water: Heuristic Placement
38:46 Water: Placement Visualization
39:41 Water: Algorithm Scalability
40:05 Results of BWSN competition
41:27 Other results
42:56 Conclusion
43:30 Conclusion and Connections
43:55 Topic Diffusion: what blogs to read?
45:29 Diffusion in Blogs
47:18 Water: Placement Visualization
48:08 Further Connections
48:45 References

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Description

Which blogs should we read to avoid missing important information? Where should we place sensors in a water distribution network to quickly detect contaminants? These seemingly different problems share common structure: Outbreak detection can be modeled as a problem of selecting nodes (blogs, sensor locations, ...) in a network, in order to detect the spreading of a virus or information as quickly as possible. We present a general methodology for near optimal sensor placement in these and related problems. We demonstrate that many realistic outbreak detection objectives (e.g., detection likelihood, population affected) exhibit the property of “submodularity’’. We exploit submodularity to develop an efficient algorithm that scales to large problems, provably achieving near optimal placements, while being 700 times faster than a simple greedy algorithm. We evaluate our approach on several large real-world problems, including a model of a water distribution network, and real blog data. We also show how the approach leads to deeper insights in both applications, answering multicriteria trade-off, cost-sensitivity and generalization questions. Joint work with: Andreas Krause, Carlos Guestrin, Christos Faloutsos, Jeanne VanBriesen and Natalie Glance Recepient of best student paper award at ACM SIGKDD ‘07 conference.

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