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Practical Inference Methods for Mechanistic Modelling of Biological Systems
Pascal

Weak noise approximate inference for diffusion models

author: Andreas Ruttor, TU Berlin

Description

The modelling of the Stochastic Kinetics of biochemical networks by stochastic differential equations (SDE) has been successfully used as a basis for statistical inference for such models. Since Monte Carlo based inference can be time consuming for SDEs, we suggest a different approximate approach. The idea is that a diffusion model applies well to chemical kinetics, when the number of molecules of each type is large. In this limit, also the number

uctuations are small leading to a small diffusion term compared to the drift. This suggests the application of a weak noise expansion.

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Slides
0:00 Weak noise approximate inference for diffusion models
0:24 Outline
2:00 Reactions
3:47 Lotka-Volterra process - 1
4:55 Inference - 1
5:40 Approximating diffusion model
7:09 Lotka-Volterra process - 2
7:35 Inference - 2
8:43 Inference - 3
9:54 Weak noise approximation - 1
11:42 Weak noise approximation - 2
12:47 Posterior process - 1
14:26 Posterior process - 2
17:03 Parameter estimation - 1
18:08 Parameter estimation - 2
18:58 Parameter estimation - 3
19:48 Conclusions and outlook

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