event thumbnail image
On-line Trading of Exploration and Exploitation

Use of variance estimation in the multi-armed bandit problem

author: Jean Yves Audibert, Center for Education and Research in Computer Science of the École des ponts, Center for Education and Research in Computer Science of the École des ponts, École nationale des ponts et chaussées, École nationale des ponts et chaussées

Description

An important aspect of most decision making problems concerns the appropriate balance between exploitation (acting optimally according to the partial knowledge acquired so far) and exploration of the environment (acting sub-optimally in order to refine the current knowledge and improve future decisions). A typical example of this so-called exploration versus exploitation dilemma is the multi-armed bandit problem, for which many strategies have been developed. Here we investigate policies based the choice of the arm having the highest upper-confidence bound, where the bound takes into account the empirical variance of the different arms. Such an algorithm was found earlier to outperform its peers in a series of numerical experiments. The main contribution of this paper is the theoretical investigation of this algorithm. Our contribution here is twofold. First, we prove that with probability at least 1 − B, the regret after n plays of a variant of the UCB algorithm (called B-UCB) is upper-bounded by a constant, that scales linearly with log(1/B), but which is independent from n. We also analyse a variant which is closer to the algorithm suggested earlier. We prove a logarithmic bound on the expected regret of this algorithm and argue that the bound scales favourably with the variance of the suboptimal arms.

You might be experiencing some problems with Your Video player.
Slides
0:01 Use of variance estimation in the multi-armed
bandit problem
0:20 Outline
0:41 The multi-armed bandit problem
1:33 Notation (1/2)
2:32 Notation (2/2)
5:45 UCB policies
6:27 UCB policies01
7:51 Bernstein’s type inequalities
9:39 Sketch of the proof
11:03 Sketch of the proof01
11:33 Definition
12:10 Definition01
12:28 Definition02
13:37 A deviation inequality for the number of plays of
non-optimal arms
14:03 A deviation inequality for the number of plays of non-optimal arms01
14:48 A deviation inequality for the number of plays of
non-optimal arms02
14:56 Cumulative regret bounds
18:16 Cumulative regret bounds01
18:55 Cumulative regret bounds02
19:49 Discussion on the 1/n-UCB policy
20:21 Discussion on the 1/n-UCB policy01
20:27 Discussion on the 1/n-UCB policy02
21:15 Definition
21:30 Expected cumulative regret bound
22:10 Expected cumulative regret bound01
22:47 Sketch of the proof (1/3)
23:15 Sketch of the proof (2/3)
23:37 Sketch of the proof (2/3)
23:53 Sketch of the proof (3/3)
24:12 Conclusion

Lecture rating

People found this lecture:
Worth seeing
because it is:
 Valuable and informative
Well presented
Easily understandable
Acceptably recorded
You need to login to cast your vote.

Report a problem or upload files

If you have found a problem with this lecture or would like to send us extra material, articles, exercises, etc., please use our ticket system to describe your request and upload the data.
Enter your e-mail into the 'Cc' field, and we will keep you updated with your request's status.

Link this page

Would you like to put a link to this lecture on your homepage?
Go ahead! Copy the HTML snippet !

Write your own review or comment:

make sure you have javascript enabled or clear this field: