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Prediction of Human Emergency Behavior and their Mobility following Large-scale Disaster
Published on 2014-10-082242 Views
The frequency and intensity of natural disasters has significantly increased over the past decades and this trend is predicted to continue. Facing these possible and unexpected disasters, accurately p
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Presentation
Prediction of Human Emergency Behavior and their Mobility following Large-scale Disaster00:00
Natural Distaster and urban Emergency Management00:12
Urban Emergency Management and Big Data01:03
What Happened in Tokyo during the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011?01:55
If some similar disasters happen, can we predict human behavior and their mobility?02:58
Therfore...03:28
Data and Empirical Analysis03:38
The Database for this Research03:44
Pre-processing of Data (important places dicovery)04:37
Human behaviors after the Great East Japan Earthquake and Fukushima nuclear accident05:47
Approach07:03
Overview of Our Approach07:11
HMM-based Behavior Model07:56
A Simple Example (Normal Case)08:45
Cont. - 109:13
Cont. - 209:35
Cont. - 309:44
Then...09:53
Prediction of human mobility and it's traveling routes10:29
Urban mobility modeling following disasters11:00
Mobility Graph Constructtion11:34
Mobility Graph Model Learning12:00
Visualization of Mobility Graph Model for Tokyo12:27
Visualization of Mobility Graph Model for Fukouka13:01
Human Mobility Prediction through Urban Mobility Graph Model13:21
Evaluation13:52
Evaluation of behavior predicxtion13:55
Evaluation of mobility prediction14:15
Conclusion and Future Work14:36
Thank you very much for your attentions!15:08