Meme-tracking and the dynamics of the news cycle
Description
Tracking new topics, ideas, and "memes" across the Web has been an issue of considerable interest. Recent work has developed methods for tracking topic shifts over long time scales, as well as abrupt spikes in the appearance of particular named entities. However, these approaches are less well suited to the identification of content that spreads widely and then fades over time scales on the order of days --- the time scale at which we perceive news and events. We develop a framework for tracking short, distinctive phrases that travel relatively intact through on-line text; developing scalable algorithms for clustering textual variants of such phrases, we identify a broad class of memes that exhibit wide spread and rich variation on a daily basis. As our principal domain of study, we show how such a meme-tracking approach can provide a coherent representation of the news cycle --- the daily rhythms in the news media that have long been the subject of qualitative interpretation but have never been captured accurately enough to permit actual quantitative analysis. We tracked 1.6 million mainstream media sites and blogs over a period of three months with the total of 90 million articles and we find a set of novel and persistent temporal patterns in the news cycle. In particular, we observe a typical lag of 2.5 hours between the peaks of attention to a phrase in the news media and in blogs respectively, with divergent behavior around the overall peak and a ``heartbeat''-like pattern in the handoff between news and blogs. We also develop and analyze a mathematical model for the kinds of temporal variation that the system exhibits.
| Slides | |
| 0:00 | Meme-tracking and Dynamics of the New Cycle |
| 0:04 | Meme |
| 0:20 | Information and Media |
| 0:45 | Fragmentation an Acceleration |
| 1:01 | Units of analysis? |
| 1:10 | How to detect memes? |
| 1:41 | Online media |
| 2:19 | Challenge: Quotes mutate... A lot! |
| 2:58 | Creating clusters of Mutations (1) |
| 3:18 | Creating clusters of Mutations (2) |
| 3:41 | Creating clusters of Mutations (3) |
| 3:53 | Quote clustering: DAG partitioning (1) |
| 4:37 | Quote clustering: DAG partitioning (2) |
| 5:42 | A quote cluster |
| 6:10 | Articles/phrases over time |
| 7:04 | Cluster volume over time (1) |
| 7:32 | Cluster volume over time (2) |
| 8:19 | Modeling the temporal variation (1) |
| 9:49 | Modeling the temporal variation (2) |
| 10:44 | Volumes of phrases |
| 10:54 | Interaction of News an Blogs (1) |
| 11:49 | Interaction of News an Blogs (2) |
| 12:36 | How quickly sites mention quotes? |
| 13:25 | Interaction of News an Blogs (3) |
| 14:12 | Stories catalyzed by blogs |
| 15:14 | Conclusions & Further questions |
| 16:15 | Questions |
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