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ICML 2007 - The 24th Annual International Conference on Machine Learning
Pascal

Model-based Bayesian RL

author: Pascal Poupart, University of Waterloo

Description

Although Bayesian methods for Reinforcement Learning can be traced back to the 1960s (Howard's work in Operations Research), Bayesian methods have only been used sporadically in modern Reinforcement Learning. This is in part because non-Bayesian approaches tend to be much simpler to work with. However, recent advances have shown that Bayesian approaches do not need to be as complex as initially thought and offer several theoretical advantages. For instance, by keeping track of full distributions (instead of point estimates) over the unknowns, Bayesian approaches permit a more comprehensive quantification of the uncertainty regarding the transition probabilities, the rewards, the value function parameters and the policy parameters. Such distributional information can be used to optimize (in a principled way) the classic exploration/exploitation tradeoff, which can speed up the learning process. Similarly, active learning for reinforcement learning can be naturally optimized. The estimation of gradient performance with respect to value function or and/or policy parameters can also be done more accurately while using less data. Bayesian approaches also facilitate the encoding of prior knowledge and the explicit formulation of domain assumptions.

The primary goal of this tutorial is to raise the awareness of the research community with regard to Bayesian methods, their properties and potential benefits for the advancement of Reinforcement Learning. An introduction to Bayesian learning will be given, followed by a historical account of Bayesian Reinforcement Learning and a description of existing Bayesian methods for Reinforcement Learning. The properties and benefits of Bayesian techniques for Reinforcement Learning will be discussed, analyzed and illustrated with case studies.

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Slides
0:00 - History of Bayesian RL
0:12 Common Belief
0:47 A Bit of History - 1
1:18 A Bit of History - 2
2:23 Bayesian RL Work
4:25 Artificial Intelligence
4:50 - Model-Based Bayesian RL
5:24 Model-Based Bayesian RL
8:07 Model Learning
9:44 - Model-Based Bayesian RL - Prior Knowledge
9:49 Conjugate Prior
11:38 Dirichlet Distributions
12:26 Encoding Prior Knowledge
16:08 Structural Priors
17:32 - Model-Based Bayesian RL - Policy Optimization
17:38 POMDP Formulation
19:02 Transition Probabilities - 1
20:39 Belief MDP Formulation
21:59 Transition Probabilities - 2
22:50 Policy Optimization - 1
24:36 Exploration/Exploitation Tradeoff
26:53 Policy Optimization - 2
27:51 Myopic Value of Information
29:34 Thompson Sampling
30:22 Empirical Comparison
31:40 Bayesian Sparse Sampling
32:39 Policy Gradient
33:15 POMDP Discretization
34:26 Policy Optimization - 3
34:49 iValue Function Parameterization
36:47 Partially Observable Domains
37:10 BEETLE Algorithm
39:31 Polynomials
39:39 BEETLE Algorithm
39:48 Polynomials
40:40 Projection Scheme
41:56 Basis Functions
42:52 BEETLE Properties
44:15 Empirical Evaluation - 1
44:20 - Questions
45:07 Empirical Evaluation - 1
46:02 Empirical Evaluation - 2
46:51 Informative Priors
47:33 - Model-Based Bayesian RL - Discussion
47:51 Discussion
47:59 Misconceptions
49:22 Generalization Assumption
49:37 - Questions
50:11 Generalization Assumption

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