Graphical Models for HIV Vaccine Design
author:
David Heckerman,
Microsoft Research
Description
I will discuss two applications of graphical models to HIV vaccine design. The first helps determine how strongly our immune system fights HIV. The second helps identify which parts of HIV can be successfully attacked by our immune system. I will also discuss how these applications have exposed a weakness in the process of learning graphical models from data---namely, the inability to quantify how many arcs in a learned graphical model are spurious. I will offer a solution based on the False Discovery Rate.
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| Slides | |
| 0:00 | Graphical models for HIV vaccine design |
| 2:55 | The need for an HIV vaccine |
| 3:35 | Overview |
| 3:57 | HIV life cycle |
| 4:45 | Two arms of adaptive immune response |
| 5:23 | Central question in vaccine design: Can our immune system stop HIV? |
| 6:09 | Cellular arm details - 1 |
| 6:43 | Cellular arm details - 2 |
| 6:54 | Cellular arm details - 3 |
| 7:02 | Cellular arm details - 4 |
| 7:14 | How effective is this mechanism on HIV? - 1 |
| 7:28 | How effective is this mechanism on HIV? - 2 |
| 8:24 | HIV mutates rapidly |
| 9:26 | Rapid mutation + selection pressure = detectible footprint |
| 10:10 | First approach - 1 |
| 10:54 | First approach - 2 |
| 12:05 | This approach ignores the phylogeny |
| 12:41 | Problem: Simple method ignores the phylogenetic structure of the data - 1 |
| 13:11 | Problem: Simple method ignores the phylogenetic structure of the data - 2 |
| 13:56 | Problem: Simple method ignores the phylogenetic structure of the data - 3 |
| 14:38 | A graphical model approach |
| 15:44 | Phylogenetic tree |
| 16:37 | Model 1: Explained by phylogeny alone |
| 18:45 | Model 2: Explained by phylogeny and HLA |
| 19:45 | Many possible associations to investigate |
| 20:15 | What biologists don’t want |
| 21:10 | What biologists want - 1 |
| 21:36 | False discovery rate (FDR) - 1 |
| 23:01 | False discovery rate (FDR) - 2 |
| 25:21 | Creating null data via permutation |
| 25:59 | FDR applied to synthetic data - 1 |
| 26:34 | FDR applied to synthetic data - 2 |
| 26:48 | FDR applied to real data - 1 |
| 28:04 | How many true associations are missing? |
| 28:25 | Associations missed |
| 28:43 | FDR applied to real data - 2 |
| 30:28 | Other insights |
| 32:33 | Can we find the epitopes? |
| 33:43 | Find the epitope HLA alleles |
| 34:17 | Example |
| 34:36 | Complications… |
| 35:32 | Graphical models to the rescue |
| 36:43 | What biologists want - 2 |
| 37:13 | FDR applied to arcs in a DAG model |
| 39:09 | Results on synthetic data |
| 39:53 | Results on real data |
| 41:22 | Conclusions |
| 42:17 | - Questions |
| 50:04 | - Questions |
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