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EPSRC Winter School in Mathematics for Data Modelling

Bayesian methods for data Modelling

author: Mike Tipping, Microsoft Research

Description

His presentation introduces the basic ideas of Bayesian methods for data modelling.

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Slides
0:00 Bayesian Methods for Data Modelling (Part 1)
1:42 Outline (Part 1)
2:38 “Ockham’s Razor”
4:42 Bayesian Preference for Appropriate Simplicity
6:13 Decoding - 1
7:51 Decoding - 2
16:13 An Example Modelling Problem
17:01 Linear (In-The-Parameter) Models
17:55 “Least-Squares” Approximation
18:50 Model Complexity?
21:28 Complexity Control: Regularisation
22:32 The Regularisation Hyperparameter
23:44 Estimating λ via Validation - 1
24:28 Estimating λ via Validation - 2
26:26 Bayesian Inference: Basic Principles
30:19 Bayesian Inference: Likelihood Model
32:13 Bayesian Inference: Prior Distributions
34:09 Bayesian Inference: Bayes’ Rule!
36:00 Rules of Probability
38:57 Bayesian Inference: Bayes’ Rule!
39:27 MAP Estimation: a ‘Bayesian’ Short-Cut
40:50 - Questions
50:58 - Questions

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