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4th European Phd Complexity School

Agent Based Models in Economics and Complexity

author: Mauro Gallegati, Marche Polytechnic University

Description

A crucial aspect of the complexity approach is how interacting elements produce aggregate patterns that those elements in turn react to. This leads to the emergence of aggregate properties and structures that cannot be guessed by looking only at individual behaviour. Explicitly considering how heterogeneous elements dynamically develop their behaviour through interaction is a hard task analytically, the equilibrium analysis of mainstream (neoclassical) economics being a not neutral shortcut. On the other hand, explicitly considering the dynamics of the process started to be a feasible alternative only when computer power became widely accessible. The computational study of heterogeneous interaction agents is called agent-based modelling (ABM). Interestingly, among its first applications a prominent role was given to economic models, although it was quickly found of value in other disciplines too. Goal of this lecture is to motivate the use of the complexity approach and agent-based modelling in economics, by discussing the weaknesses of the traditional paradigm of mainstream economics, and then explain what ABM is and which research and policy questions it can help to analyse.

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Slides
0:00 Agent Based Models in Economics and Complexity
0:49 UPM
1:03 Economics is in crisis
5:32 From then on,...
8:21 This approach does not take into consideration...
10:24 The notion of statistical equilibrium,...
12:37 The Schelling’s segregation model and “the game of life”
14:37 Existence but not uniqueness and stability of GE
16:28 Equilibrium is assumed not demonstrated
23:36 Money is irrelevant (well … yourmoney is)
24:52 Time is money
25:27 The (in)famous RA
26:30 RA as R.Crusoe without Friday part1
28:04 RA as R.Crusoe without Friday part2
29:09 The RA is alive and well (at least as Alitalia is)
30:09 From HIA to Complexity
32:23 The ABM strategy part1
33:38 The ABM strategy part2
34:23 The danger of averages
34:37 ABM are characterized...
36:07 Before economics it was politicaleconomy part1
39:11 Before economics it was politicaleconomy part2
39:45 Before economics it was politicaleconomy part3
40:45 Before economics it was politicaleconomy part4
40:50 Picture
42:59 Before economics it was politicaleconomy part5
44:34 The End
45:12 - Questions

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