Global and Local Dynamics in Correlated Systems
Description
In this talk, we will show results concerning the characterization and visualization of correlations in financial systems by means of network analysis [1-4]. We will discuss results from the application of a new method which is able to construct complex graphs from cross-correlation matrices. Dynamical changes in the local topology and hierarchy of these graphs are detected and related to markets fluctuations [5]. [1] T. Aste, T. Di Matteo, S. T. Hyde, Physica A 346 (2005) 20-26; [2] M. Tumminello, T. Aste, T. Di Matteo, R. N. Mantegna, PNAS 102, n. 30 (2005) 10421 10426; [3] T. Aste and T. Di Matteo, Physica A 370 (2006) 156-161; [4] M. Tumminello, T. Aste, T. Di Matteo, and R. N. Mantegna, EPJB 55 (2007) 209-217; [5] F. Pozzi, T. Di Matteo, T. Aste, in preparation (2007).
| Slides | |
| 0:00 | Global and local dynamics in correlated systems |
| 0:37 | Brief overview |
| 1:50 | “The architecture of networks: Characterization and Visualization of complex systems as fluctuating networks” |
| 3:03 | WHY SURFACES? |
| 4:34 | Which SURFACES? |
| 4:53 | Planar graph g=0 |
| 5:37 | WEIGHTS - part 1 |
| 5:53 | WEIGHTS - part 2 |
| 6:39 | Application to interest rates - part 1 |
| 7:20 | Application to interest rates - part 2 |
| 8:06 | Metric graphs |
| 9:59 | MINIMUM SPANNING TREE (MST) |
| 11:07 | Graph g=0 embedded on a sphere |
| 11:26 | Graph g=0 embedded on a sphere |
| 11:51 | Network relaxation procedure |
| 11:55 | Hierarchy |
| 12:44 | CLUSTERING - part 1 |
| 13:43 | CLUSTERING - part 2 |
| 14:54 | CLUSTERING - part 3 |
| 15:54 | 100 stocks in the USA equity markets |
| 16:46 | Graph richer of links but preserving the MST hierarchical structure |
| 17:27 | 4-cliques structure - part 1 |
| 18:37 | 4-cliques structure - part 2 |
| 19:26 | 5 min time horizon |
| 19:32 | 1 day time horizon |
| 19:39 | 5 min time horizon- 1 day time horizon |
| 20:05 | Topological properties |
| 20:59 | Average length of shortest path as function of the sampling time horizon of return |
| 21:29 | Betweenness of GE and PPG evaluated in the PMFG as function of the time horizon |
| 22:06 | Degree of GE and PPG evaluated in the PMFG as function of the time horizon - part 1 |
| 22:26 | Degree of GE and PPG evaluated in the PMFG as function of the time horizon - part 2 |
| 23:50 | Connection strength evaluated by the number of intra-sector 3-cliques (C3) |
| 24:16 | Conglomerates and capital goods |
| 25:34 | Sub-sectors |
| 26:04 | Nature and properties of the MST and PMFG at different time series windows: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 12 months moving through the time series |
| 27:04 | Nature and properties of the MST and PMFG at different time series windows: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 12 months moving through the time series - graph 1 |
| 27:58 | Nature and properties of the MST and PMFG at different time series windows: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 12 months moving through the time series - graph 2 |
| 28:39 | Nature and properties of the MST and PMFG at different time series windows: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 12 months moving through the time series - graph 3 |
| 28:54 | Nature and properties of the MST and PMFG at different time series windows: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 12 months moving through the time series - graph 4 |
| 28:57 | Nature and properties of the MST and PMFG at different time series windows: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 12 months moving through the time series - graph 5 |
| 28:59 | Nature and properties of the MST and PMFG at different time series windows: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 12 months moving through the time series - graph 6 |
| 30:23 | Conclusion - part 1 |
| 31:25 | Conclusion - part 2 |
| 31:59 | Conclusion - part 3 |
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