Generalized Mixability via Entropic Duality

author: Mark Reid, Research School of Information Sciences and Engineering, Australian National University
published: Aug. 20, 2015,   recorded: July 2015,   views: 18
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Description

Mixability is a property of a loss which characterizes when fast convergence is possible in the game of prediction with expert advice. We show that a key property of mixability generalizes, and the $\exp$ and $\log$ operations present in the usual theory are not as special as one might have thought. In doing so we introduce a more general notion of $\Phi$-mixability where $\Phi$ is a general entropy (\ie, any convex function on probabilities). We show how a property shared by the convex dual of any such entropy yields a natural algorithm (the minimizer of a regret bound) which, analogous to the classical Aggregating Algorithm, is guaranteed a constant regret when used with $\Phi$-mixable losses. We characterize which $\Phi$ have non-trivial $\Phi$-mixable losses and relate $\Phi$-mixability and its associated Aggregating Algorithm to potential-based methods, a Blackwell-like condition, mirror descent, and risk measures from finance. We also define a notion of ``dominance'' between different entropies in terms of bounds they guarantee and conjecture that classical mixability gives optimal bounds, for which we provide some supporting empirical evidence.

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