PAC-Bayes Analysis of Classification
author:
John Shawe-Taylor,
University College London
Description
The lecture will introduce the PAC Bayes approach to the statistical analysis of learning. After some historical introduction, the key theorems will be covered. We will then consider some applications including for Support Vector Machines and novelty detection. A discussion of the status of the prior in the approach will lead to an investigation of how learning the prior can be used in practical applications. Discussions of further extensions of the approach will conclude the presentation.
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| Slides | |
| 0:00 | PAC - Bayes Analysis of Classification |
| 1:34 | Aims - 1 |
| 1:35 | Aims - 2 |
| 1:39 | Aims - 3 |
| 1:40 | Aims - 4 |
| 2:07 | Aims - 5 |
| 2:09 | Aims - 6 |
| 2:42 | Outline |
| 3:48 | General perspectives - 1 |
| 5:06 | General perspectives - 2 |
| 5:19 | General perspectives - 3 |
| 5:48 | General perspectives - 4 |
| 6:07 | General perspectives - 5 |
| 6:29 | Historical notes: Frequentist approach - 1 |
| 6:52 | Historical notes: Frequentist approach - 2 |
| 7:04 | Historical notes: Frequentist approach - 3 |
| 8:30 | Historical notes: Frequentist approach - 4 |
| 10:01 | Historical notes: Frequentist approach - 5 |
| 10:08 | Historical notes: Bayesian approach - 1 |
| 11:41 | Historical notes: Bayesian approach - 2 |
| 13:04 | - Questions |
| 15:28 | Historical notes: Bayesian approach - 4 |
| 16:27 | - Questions |
| 19:01 | Evidence and generalisation - 1 |
| 19:59 | Evidence and generalisation - 2 |
| 20:34 | Evidence and generalisation - 3 |
| 21:08 | Evidence and generalisation - 4 |
| 21:40 | PAC-Bayes theorem - 1 |
| 22:10 | PAC-Bayes theorem - 2 |
| 22:31 | PAC-Bayes theorem - 3 |
| 22:56 | PAC-Bayes theorem - 4 |
| 23:11 | Definitions for main result: Prior and posterior distributions - 1 |
| 24:19 | Definitions for main result: Prior and posterior distributions - 2 |
| 25:14 | Definitions for main result: Prior and posterior distributions - 3 |
| 27:20 | Definitions for main result: Error measures - 1 |
| 28:15 | Definitions for main result: Error measures - 2 |
| 28:24 | Definitions for main result: Error measures - 3 |
| 28:56 | Definitions for main result: Error measures - 4 |
| 29:23 | - Questions |
| 34:02 | Definitions for main result: Assessing the posterior - 2 |
| 34:45 | Definitions for main result: Generalisation error |
| 36:10 | - Questions |
| 39:59 | - Questions |
| 41:40 | Finite classes - 1 |
| 43:00 | Definitions for main result: Assessing the posterior - 2 |
| 43:32 | - Questions |
| 46:02 | Ingredients of proof (1/3) - 1 |
| 46:05 | PAC-Bayes theorem - 5 |
| 46:21 | Ingredients of proof (1/3) - 1 |
| 47:20 | Ingredients of proof (1/3) - 2 |
| 49:15 | Ingredients of proof (2/3) - 1 |
| 49:40 | Ingredients of proof (2/3) - 2 |
| 51:00 | Ingredients of proof (3/3) - 1 |
| 51:29 | Ingredients of proof (2/3) - 3 |
| 51:47 | Ingredients of proof (3/3) - 1 |
| 51:50 | Ingredients of proof (2/3) - 3 |
| 52:09 | Ingredients of proof (3/3) - 2 |
| 52:16 | Ingredients of proof (2/3) - 3 |
| 52:26 | Ingredients of proof (3/3) - 2 |
| 52:54 | Finite classes - 1 |
| 53:37 | Finite classes - 2 |
| 53:58 | Other extensions/applications - 1 |
| 54:13 | Other extensions/applications - 2 |
| 54:50 | Other extensions/applications - 3 |
| 55:05 | Other extensions/applications - 4 |
| 55:16 | Linear classifiers and SVMs - 1 |
| 55:24 | Linear classifiers and SVMs - 2 |
| 55:28 | Linear classifiers and SVMs - 3 |
| 55:33 | Linear classifiers and SVMs - 4 |
| 56:26 | Linear classifiers - 1 |
| 56:38 | Linear classifiers - 2 |
| 56:41 | Linear classifiers - 3 |
| 57:03 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (1/2) - 1 |
| 57:09 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (1/2) - 2 |
| 57:23 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (1/2) - 3 |
| 57:26 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (1/2) - 4 |
| 57:35 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 1 |
| 57:45 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 2 |
| 57:56 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 3 |
| 59:28 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 4 |
| 59:58 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 5 |
| 60:10 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 6 |
| 61:41 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 7 |
| 62:10 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 8 |
| 62:11 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 9 |
| 62:12 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 10 |
| 62:41 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 6 |
| 62:52 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 10 |
| 62:55 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 11 |
| 62:59 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 12 |
| 63:01 | PAC-Bayes bound for SVM (2/2) - 13 |
| 63:04 | Learning the prior (1/3) - 1 |
| 63:23 | Learning the prior (1/3) - 2 |
| 63:44 | Learning the prior (1/3) - 3 |
| 64:28 | Learning the prior (1/3) - 4 |
| 64:33 | Learning the prior (1/3) - 5 |
| 64:34 | New prior for the SVM (3/3) - 1 |
| 64:43 | New prior for the SVM (3/3) - 2 |
| 64:53 | New prior for the SVM (3/3) - 3 |
| 65:10 | New prior for the SVM (3/3) - 4 |
| 65:32 | New bound for the SVM (2/3) - 1 |
| 65:39 | New bound for the SVM (2/3) - 2 |
| 65:41 | New bound for the SVM (2/3) - 3 |
| 65:43 | New bound for the SVM (2/3) - 4 |
| 65:59 | New bound for the SVM (2/3) - 5 |
| 66:08 | New bound for the SVM (2/3) - 6 |
| 66:13 | New bound for the SVM (2/3) - 7 |
| 67:01 | New bound for the SVM (2/3) - 8 |
| 67:03 | Model selection with the new bound: Setup - 1 |
| 67:29 | Model selection with the new bound: Setup - 2 |
| 67:30 | Model selection with the new bound: Setup - 3 |
| 67:50 | Model selection with the new bound: Setup - 4 |
| 67:59 | Model selection with the new bound: Setup - 5 |
| 68:22 | Model selection with the new bound: Results |
| 69:09 | Tightness of the new bound |
| 69:33 | Model selection with the new bound: Results |
| 69:39 | Tightness of the new bound |
| 69:50 | Prior-SVM - 1 |
| 70:24 | Prior-SVM - 2 |
| 70:28 | Prior-SVM - 3 |
| 70:50 | Prior-SVM - 4 |
| 70:54 | Bound for p-SVM - 1 |
| 71:02 | Bound for p-SVM - 2 |
| 71:05 | Bound for p-SVM - 3 |
| 71:11 | Bound for p-SVM - 4 |
| 71:16 | Prior-SVM - 5 |
| 71:28 | Prior-SVM - 4 |
| 71:37 | Prior-SVM - 5 |
| 71:52 | Prior-SVM - 6 |
| 71:53 | Prior-SVM - 7 |
| 71:59 | Prior-SVM - 8 |
| 72:22 | Bound for prior-SVM - 1 |
| 72:23 | Bound for prior-SVM - 2 |
| 72:24 | Bound for prior-SVM - 3 |
| 73:50 | Model selection with p-SVM |
| 74:23 | Tightness of the bound with p-SVM |
| 75:04 | - Questions |
| 76:52 | Concluding remarks - 1 |
| 77:21 | Concluding remarks - 2 |
| 77:37 | Concluding remarks - 3 |
| 77:41 | Concluding remarks - 4 |
| 78:05 | Concluding remarks - 5 |
| 78:11 | Concluding remarks - 6 |
| 78:20 | - Questions |
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