Modelling Financial Time Series using Grammatical Evolution
published: Aug. 21, 2009, recorded: July 2009, views: 1511
Report a problem or upload filesIf you have found a problem with this lecture or would like to send us extra material, articles, exercises, etc., please use our ticket system to describe your request and upload the data.
Enter your e-mail into the 'Cc' field, and we will keep you updated with your request's status.
The traditional models of price, and its statistical signatures are often based on limiting assumptions, such as linearity. Moreover, the model developer is faced with the model selection problem, and model uncertainty. In this paper we introduce a method based on Grammatical Evolution (GE) to evolve models for predicting financial returns, and we examine the profitability of these models. Our empirical analysis demonstrates that for some securities our method is able to produce models of return that are lead to more profitable trading compared with an Autoregressive model picked using Aikake Information Criterion (AIC), under the assumption of frictionless markets.
Link this pageWould you like to put a link to this lecture on your homepage?
Go ahead! Copy the HTML snippet !