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A Graph-based prediction model with applications
Published on Oct 23, 2018806 Views
We present a new model for probabilistic forecasting using graph-based rating method. We provide a \forward-looking" type graph-based approach and apply it to predict football game outcomes by simply
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Chapter list
Graph-based prediction model with applications00:00
Introduction00:27
A general methodology01:44
Matrix / Graph representation04:11
Forecasting05:11
Baseline 1: Betting odds06:23
Baseline 2: The Bradley-Terry model07:00
General forward-looking type models08:28
General model - example09:29
Model parameters10:38
Ratings and graphs - PageRank11:09
The proposed method11:40
Determine probabilities - technical11:55
Probabilities obtained by the PageRank model12:31
Experiments13:07
Conclusion, notes14:33