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Utilizing Temporal Patterns for Estimating Uncertainty in Interpretable Early Decision Making

Published on Oct 07, 20141633 Views

Early classification of time series is prevalent in many time-sensitive applications such as, but not limited to, early warning of disease outcome and early warning of crisis in stock market. For ex

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Utilizing Temporal Patterns for Estimating Uncertainty in Interpretable Early Decision Making00:00
Motivation and Objectives - 100:31
Motivation and Objectives - 202:52
EDSC Framework [Xing et al, 2011] - 103:39
EDSC Framework [Xing et al, 2011] - 204:55
Motivating Example 05:26
Uncertainty Estimation for Shapelet-Based Methods 07:06
Aggregated Class Confidence 07:55
Modified EDSC with Uncertainty Estimates (MEDSC-U)08:25
Accuracy and Earliness Characretization of MEDCS-U 09:13
Case Study 1 - 110:21
Case Study 1 - 211:47
Recommending an Uncertainty Threshold 12:23
Uncertainty versus Accuracy and Earliness13:17
Case Study 2 - 113:56
Case Study 2 - 214:54
Uncertainty Estimates Comparison to localQDA15:50
Conclusion and Work in Progress 17:16
Thanks 17:48