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Bugbears or Legitimate Threats? (Social) Scientists' Criticisms of Machine Learning
Published on Feb 4, 20256568 Views
Social scientists increasingly criticize the use of machine learning techniques to understand human behavior. Criticisms include: (1) They are atheoretical and hence of limited scientific value; (2) T
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Presentation
Bugbears or Legitimate Threats? (Social) Scientists’ Criticisms of Machine Learning00:00
This is a Poorly Titled Talk00:05
Outline of Talk - 101:18
Outline of Talk - 202:29
Greatest hits02:34
Racial Divide - 102:59
Resume04:17
Call Back Rates07:30
Behavioral Economics08:55
Time - 109:50
Time - 211:26
Expensive habit12:59
Cigarette Taxes Make Smokers Happier15:42
Common Themes16:18
Outline of Talk - 320:00
Theory Testing20:08
A Fictional Example20:36
Sets Up An Experiment - 121:54
Sets Up An Experiment - 222:11
Sets Up An Experiment - 322:38
Pessimism22:46
What goes wrong?24:13
Atheoretical26:27
Modeling Modeling27:36
Models29:34
Deduction30:50
Induction32:08
What does Induction Do?34:14
Prediction-Induction-Deduction35:38
Creating a Feature Set38:25
Deductive Test38:37
Inductive Test - 138:47
Inductive Test - 238:59
Inductive Test - 339:12
Inductive Test - 439:59
The Clone problem - 140:10
The Clone problem - 241:34
The Clone problem - 341:48
Outline of Talk - 442:16
Policy42:26
Two Important policy Problems43:07
AVery Complex Graphical model44:17
Causality for Policy45:30
Example45:51
Important Policy Problem46:33
Crime Rate Prediction47:27
Causality Lessons - 148:10
Causal Identificattion - 148:19
Causal Identificattion - 248:31
Causal Identificattion - 348:40
Causač Identificattion - 448:51
Can Improve on D-in-D48:57
Can Improve on Other Strategies49:31
Causality Lessons - 249:50
What is Needed50:11
Outline of Talk - 551:01
Discrimination - 151:04
Discrimination - 252:31
Cigarette Smokers54:01
Conclusion54:27