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Bugbears or Legitimate Threats? (Social) Scientists' Criticisms of Machine Learning
Published on 2014-10-076570 Views
Social scientists increasingly criticize the use of machine learning techniques to understand human behavior. Criticisms include: (1) They are atheoretical and hence of limited scientific value; (2) T
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Presentation
Bugbears or Legitimate Threats? (Social) Scientists’ Criticisms of Machine Learning00:00
This is a Poorly Titled Talk00:05
Outline of Talk - 101:18
Outline of Talk - 202:29
Greatest hits02:34
Racial Divide - 102:59
Resume04:17
Call Back Rates07:30
Behavioral Economics08:55
Time - 109:50
Time - 211:26
Expensive habit12:59
Cigarette Taxes Make Smokers Happier15:42
Common Themes16:18
Outline of Talk - 320:00
Theory Testing20:08
A Fictional Example20:36
Sets Up An Experiment - 121:54
Sets Up An Experiment - 222:11
Sets Up An Experiment - 322:38
Pessimism22:46
What goes wrong?24:13
Atheoretical26:27
Modeling Modeling27:36
Models29:34
Deduction30:50
Induction32:08
What does Induction Do?34:14
Prediction-Induction-Deduction35:38
Creating a Feature Set38:25
Deductive Test38:37
Inductive Test - 138:47
Inductive Test - 238:59
Inductive Test - 339:12
Inductive Test - 439:59
The Clone problem - 140:10
The Clone problem - 241:34
The Clone problem - 341:48
Outline of Talk - 442:16
Policy42:26
Two Important policy Problems43:07
AVery Complex Graphical model44:17
Causality for Policy45:30
Example45:51
Important Policy Problem46:33
Crime Rate Prediction47:27
Causality Lessons - 148:10
Causal Identificattion - 148:19
Causal Identificattion - 248:31
Causal Identificattion - 348:40
Causač Identificattion - 448:51
Can Improve on D-in-D48:57
Can Improve on Other Strategies49:31
Causality Lessons - 249:50
What is Needed50:11
Outline of Talk - 551:01
Discrimination - 151:04
Discrimination - 252:31
Cigarette Smokers54:01
Conclusion54:27