Modelling Financial Time Series using Grammatical Evolution
author: Kamal Adamu,
Center for Computational Finance and Economic Agents, University of Essex
published: Aug. 21, 2009, recorded: July 2009, views: 8292
published: Aug. 21, 2009, recorded: July 2009, views: 8292
Slides
Related content
Report a problem or upload files
If you have found a problem with this lecture or would like to send us extra material, articles, exercises, etc., please use our ticket system to describe your request and upload the data.Enter your e-mail into the 'Cc' field, and we will keep you updated with your request's status.
Description
The traditional models of price, and its statistical signatures are often based on limiting assumptions, such as linearity. Moreover, the model developer is faced with the model selection problem, and model uncertainty. In this paper we introduce a method based on Grammatical Evolution (GE) to evolve models for predicting financial returns, and we examine the profitability of these models. Our empirical analysis demonstrates that for some securities our method is able to produce models of return that are lead to more profitable trading compared with an Autoregressive model picked using Aikake Information Criterion (AIC), under the assumption of frictionless markets.
Link this page
Would you like to put a link to this lecture on your homepage?Go ahead! Copy the HTML snippet !
Reviews and comments:
regarding the question about multiplying the moving average with another variable (lagged return in this case), perhaps we should be examining "interaction effect"
MashaAllah !!!! ;)
I think your project is really GOOD.
MashaAllah Brother!!!
YOUR PROJECT ROCKS!!! It is really genius to simulate business behavior from what I understand using AI algorithm. I think it would reduce risks business have to have by alot.
- Thats from what I understand-
The best Algorithms are from studying creation itself, and this is an example of it ;):D
RAMADHAN MUBARAK BRO!!!
Bro, am really proud of u! u made me feel wonderful, keep it up!!!
Write your own review or comment: