24th Annual Conference on Learning Theory (COLT), Budapest 2011

Does an efficient calibrated forecasting strategy exist?

author: Jacob Abernethy, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences, UC Berkeley
published: Aug. 2, 2011, recorded: July 2011, views: 3689

Slides

Related Open Educational Resources

Report a problem or upload files

If you have found a problem with this lecture or would like to send us extra material, articles, exercises, etc., please use our ticket system to describe your request and upload the data.
Enter your e-mail into the 'Cc' field, and we will keep you updated with your request's status.

Lecture popularity: You need to login to cast your vote.

Description

We recall two previously-proposed notions of asymptotic calibration for a forecaster making a sequence of probability predictions. We note that the existence of efficient algorithms for calibrated forecasting holds only in the case of binary outcomes. We pose the question: do there exist such efficient algorithms for the general (non-binary) case?

Link this page

Would you like to put a link to this lecture on your homepage?
Go ahead! Copy the HTML snippet !

Reviews and comments:

1 JuliaPeli, December 16, 2019 at 4:31 p.m.:

Very good article!

http://cinecalidad.plus

2 pretty Gaming, August 22, 2023 at 1:59 a.m.:

Everything fits perfectly. You have written the content very well. I don't think anyone can do it. https://www.prettybaccaratt-789.com/

Write your own review or comment:

Comment:
Name:
Email address:
URL:

make sure you have javascript enabled or clear this field: